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Regional Workshop on The Development of Transport Statistics and Transport Related Sustainable Development Indicators in the Arab Countries Beirut, Lebanon: 16-18 September 2019 Wafa Aboul Hosn, Ph.D. Chief, Economic Statistics Section (ESS) Omar Hakouz Regional Advisor on National Accounts ESCWA [email protected] Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics System

Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

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Page 1: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Regional Workshop on

The Development of Transport Statistics and Transport

Related Sustainable Development Indicators in the Arab

Countries

Beirut, Lebanon: 16-18 September 2019

Wafa Aboul Hosn, Ph.D.

Chief, Economic Statistics Section (ESS)

Omar Hakouz

Regional Advisor on National Accounts

ESCWA

[email protected]

Transport Statistics in an Integrated

Economic Statistics System

Page 2: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

• National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and

2008 SNA)

• Trade and Industry Statistics

• Price Statistics and The International Comparison Program (ICP):estimating purchasing power parities (PPPs).

• Energy and Environment Statistics: environment statistics, the system for

environmental economic accounting (SEEA); energy statistics and balance

• International Economic Classification: International Standard Industrial

Classification of All Economic Activities (ISIC); The Central Product Classification (CPC),

Harmonized System (HS), Trade in Services (EBOPS)

• TAGES added new mandate for SDGs-Econ, Transport, Digital Economy.

Economic Statistics Section

Areas of work

Page 3: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Publications, Country profiles in Economic Statistics

External Trade Bulletin of the Arab Region Twenty-Seventh Issue

(2019). E/ESCWA/SD/2019/3

27

Trade Country Profile of the Arab region 2017 interactive English and

Arabic on trends in exports and imports, balances of trade, major

traded products and trading partners. Contact Majed Hamoudeh

([email protected]) and Ramzi Fanous ([email protected])

Bulletin of Industrial Statistics for the Arab Countries - Tenth Issue

E/ESCWA/SD/2019/2

10E/ESCWA/SD/2019/2.

Industrial Statistics Arab Countries Profiles 2019

Contact Majed Hamoudeh ([email protected]) and Ramzi Fanous

([email protected]) for more details.

National Accounts Studies of the Arab Region, No. 37.

E/ESCWA/SD/2019/1

37

2019 main economic indicators in the Arab region from 2010 to 2017:

The tool highlights the main findings of the first chapter of ESCWA’s

37th issue of the “National Accounts Studies of the Arab Region”,

Contact Majed Skaini ([email protected]) or Wassim Hammoud

([email protected])

Online Quarterly Inflation Monitor for ESCWA member Countries. Contact Majed

Skaini ([email protected]) or Roy Doumit at ([email protected])

Page 4: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

ESCWA Statistical information System

Economic Databases

Arab data Hub (data.unescwa.org)

Page 5: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Chocking Figures on Roads and Transport

Road traffic injuries are the tenth leading cause of death globally, responsible for around

1.3 million deaths each year and as many as 50 million injuries. It is a major toll on

people’s health, society and the economy.

Road traffic injuries was addressed in the in the Sustainable Development Goal 3 on

Ensuring healthy lives and promote well-being for all, at all ages, and target 3.6 to reduce

road traffic deaths and injuries by 50% by 2020 as SDG 3.6.1. indicator. In addition, SDG

target 11.2 aims to provide access to safe, affordable, accessible and sustainable transport

by 2030.

In the Arab region, data from the SDG global database on 18 countries show that varied

from high 73 per 100,000 population in 2013 in Libya which is 100% increase from year

2000 to less than 10 in Palestine and Bahrain while most are between 10 and 30. In most

countries there was significant decrease since 2000 except in Saudi Arabia, Libya and

Yemen. There is a long way to go to reduce global road accident mortality by lowering 10

deaths per 100,000 populations within year 2020 as UN Member States adopted the

Moscow Declaration and proclaimed the Decade of Action for Road Safety 2011–2020.

Last year in Jordan, more than 500 were killed in 10,431 reported traffic accidents and the

cost was estimated to 313 million JD. In Lebanon, about the same figures were reported.

Overall in the Arab Countries the cost in 1 to 1.5 % of GDP.

The majority of victims of road fatalities are young people: 47% between 15-44 years in

Lebanon and 45 % between 21-38 years in Jordan .

Good accessible roads provide medium for better trade and higher value added.

Passenger volume (passenger kilometres), by road in Arab countries varied from as high

as 312 billion in Saudi, 386 in UAE and 504 in Egypt to as low as 2 million in Sudan.• https://www.unescwa.org/events/regional-workshop-development-transport-statistics-and-transport-related-sustainable

• https://www.unescwa.org/sites/www.unescwa.org/files/publications/files/road-traffic-safety-selected-escwa-member-countries-

arabic.pdf

Page 6: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

2018 Lebanon Jordan (PSD)

total of people killed in

traffic accidents

316

ISF

571

injuries fatalities from

traffic accidents

reported to the police

6,933

Reported to ISF

16,203

reported traffic

accidents

5,345 10,431

Estimated

cost of traffic accidents

JD313 million

total number of

registered vehicles

1,58 millions

(MoIM 2013).

1,64 millions

Youths aged 47%

Bet 15-44

45 % of traffic-fatalities or

injuries between 21-38

years

Road Accidents in Countries

Page 7: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Libya

Oman

Saudi Arabia

Page 8: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Transport Sector in Economic

Statistics and National Accounts

• Output

• International Classifications

• Trade and Transport margins

• Statistical Units

• Informal Sector large proportion of un-

registered vehicles motorcycles High risk for

riders/drivers public

• Digital Economy in transport

• Data Sources: Administrative data,

Household Surveys i.e how much is spent

on taxis services Uber , GIS, etc..

Page 9: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Transport in the Economy

Transport accounts for 6% of value

added, 8% of jobs, 15% of household

spending.*

+The transport sector is at the heart of globalisation

supporting trade and economic growth1. (passengers and

freight, goods and services are more numerous and travel

further and more frequently)

- Transport accounts for 19% of global energy use and 25% of global energy-related CO2 emissions. Road Transport

accounts for 75%(IEA, 2009).

Energy Demand in Transport is projected to rise by 40% from 2010 to 2040 mainly due to commercial

transportation 2

Page 10: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry
Page 11: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

9% 9%

13% 13%

7% 7%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

2012 2013

Transport, storage and communication % of Current GDP

Egypt Jordan Palestine

UNESCWA 2015. National accounts studies of the Arab region E/ESCWA/SD/2015/1

Transport Sector Contribution to Economic

Output

Page 12: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Transport Sector Contribution to Economic Output 2

Mining and quarrying,

manufacturing, electricity, gas and

waterاألحجاروقلعالتعدين

التحويليةوالصناعاتوالمياهوالغازوالكهرباء

26.0%

Constructionالبناء

3.2%

Wholesale and retail trade, restaurants and hotels

الجملةتجارةوالمطاعموالتجزئة

والفنادق10.2%

Transport, storage and

communication

والتخزينالنقلواالتصاالت

9.0%

Financial institutions,

insurance, real estate and business services

الماليةالمؤسساتوالخدماتوالتأمينوالتجاريةالعقارية

23.5%

Community, social and personal services

االجتماعيةالخدماتوالشخصيةوالمجتمعية

6.9%

Producers of government

servicesالخدماتمنتجو

الحكومية13.9%

Othersأخرىأنشطة

7.4%

Figure II-7الشكل،الجاريةباألسعار،األردنفياالقتصاديالنشاطحسباإلجماليالمحليالناتج 2017

GDP by economic activity in Jordan, at current prices, 2017a

Tunisia

National Accounts Studies of the Arab Region, No. 37. E/ESCWA/SD/2019/1 العدد،العربيةللمنطقةالقوميةالحساباتدراسات 37

2019 main economic indicators in the Arab region from 2010 to 2017:

Jordan

Page 13: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

• 1 good in 1 location quality from the same one

in another location

• it is a process of production in which an

economically significant change takes place even if

the good remains unchanged (SNA 2008, 6.141).

• The output of transportation measured by the

value of the money received for transporting goods

or persons.

• Transportation services industry in national

accounts consist of businesses with primary activity

in transport and/or storage.

• Transport activity may occur outside this industry

Output of Transport Sector

Page 14: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

International Standard Industrial Classification of All Economic

Activities ISIC Rev 4Transportation

services (section H)

includes the

provision of

passenger or freight

transport by road,

rail, water, air or

pipeline and

associated activities

(terminal, parking,

cargo handling,

storage etc.)

+Renting of transport

equipment with

driver or operator,

postal and courier

activities,

Page 15: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Statistics of International Trade in Services

(MSITS 2010)

Extended classification of other modes of transport

3.5 Space transport

3.6 Rail transport

3.6.1 Passenger

3.6.2 Freight

3.6.3 Other

3.7 Road transport

3.7.1 Passenger

3.7.2 Freight

3.7.3 Other

3.8 Inland waterway transport

3.8.1 Passenger

3.8.2 Freight

3.8.3 Other

3.9 Pipeline transport

3.10 Electricity transmission

3.11 Other supporting and auxiliary transport services

For all modes of transport

Alternative 2: What is carried

3a.1 Passenger Of which: 3a.1.1 Payable by border,

seasonal, and other short-term workers

3a.2 Freight

3a.3 Other 3a.31 Postal and courier services 3a.32 Other

2010 Extended Balance of Payments

Services Classification (EBOPS 2010)3 Transport

Alternative 1: Mode of transport

3.1 Sea transport

3.1.1 Passenger

Of which: 3.1.1.a Payable by border, seasonal, and

other short-term workers

3.1.2 Freight

3.1.3 Other

3.2 Air transport

3.2.1 Passenger

Of which: 3.2.1.a Payable by border, seasonal, and

other short-term workers

3.2.2 Freight

3.3.3 Other

3.3 Other modes of transport

3.3.1 Passenger

Of which: 3.3.1.a Payable by border, seasonal, and

other short-term workers

3.3.2 Freight

3.3.3 Other

3.4 Postal and courier services

Page 16: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Transport margins and Supply and Use tables

• costs for transportation of products paid separately by the purchaser

and included in the use of products at purchasers’ prices but not in

the basic price of a manufacturers’ output or in the trade margins of

wholesalers or retail traders.

• transport of goods from the place where it is manufactured or sold to

the place where the purchaser takes delivery of it in case the

manufacturer or trader pays a third party for the transport, if this

amount is invoiced separately to the purchaser; t transport of goods

arranged by the manufacturer or by the wholesale or retail trader in

such a way that the purchaser has to pay separately for the transport

costs even when the transport is done by the manufacturer or the

wholesale or retail trader himself.

• A large part of the output of transportation services (i.e. the part

related to the transport of newly produced goods) forms part of the

difference between the basic price and the purchaser's price of a

good: the transport margins.

Page 17: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Informal/Illegal transport in National Accounts

Informal Sector

large proportion of un-

registered vehicles/

motorcycles/vans

providing transport

services

Illegal transportation in the

form of smuggling of

goods and of people, and

services

https://www.unescwa.org/sites/www.unescwa.org/files/events/files/operational_guidebook.pdf

Page 18: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Digital Economy and Transport • New digital economy depends on a physical

enabler (moving physically the good or the

service that is bought online..)

• Amazon and Alibaba would not exist without

efficient ways to deliver products worldwide,

by road or ship or drone.

• Transporting passengers: Uber and Careem,

and others

• Delivering purchases offered on-line:

• Toters Uber Eats, Deliveroo, Careem Now

tawseel, skydelivery: in Lebanon, Iraq and

Saudi Arabia Jordan, etc,..

• Data Sources: records of companies/confidentiality

• HH and Economic surveys: Add questions to get data

Page 19: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Estimating Transport Output

Form advisory perspectives

Talking Points by Mr. Omar Hakouz

Regional Advisor on National Accounts

Page 20: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Statistical Units

• Economic Activity

Ancillary VS Main Activity

• Formal Vs Informal

Specific Location – enterprises with offices

Undefined location- Totally transport activity

Undefined location??? Mixed with other activities

• Transit- Joint enterprises

• Households – students work collogues

Page 21: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Transport Margins

• Ancillary Activity – No Margin ????

• Trucks used in construction

• Part of the Charged amount – Uber and Kareem

• From surveys

• Commodity flow - value Vs Quantities

Page 22: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Transport in an Integrated statistical System

• Employees

Different drivers on the same car

Self employed

Economic Activity

• Balance of Payment - Sea transport

• Mixed activities within one transaction

Page 23: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

Digital Economy

• Uber

Transport Activity

Financial Activity

Administrative Services

• Transaction and scope

GDP – Transport Activity

Balance of Payment

Households, Nonfinancial and financial Institutional sectors

Page 24: Transport Statistics in an Integrated Economic Statistics ... · •National Accounts: Implementation of the System of National Accounts (1993 and 2008 SNA) • Trade and Industry

THANK YOU