Www.climatesoutheast.org.uk Rising to the Challenge of Climate Change in the South East Local Presenter & Organisation Partner’s Logo

www.climatesoutheast.org.uk

Rising to the Challenge of Rising to the Challenge of Climate Change Climate Change in the South Eastin the South East

Rising to the Challenge of Rising to the Challenge of Climate Change Climate Change in the South Eastin the South East

Local Presenter & OrganisationLocal Presenter & OrganisationLocal Presenter & OrganisationLocal Presenter & Organisation

Partner’s Logo


OutlineOutlineOutlineOutline

What is climate change?What is climate change? How will the South East be affected?How will the South East be affected? What is the South East Climate What is the South East Climate

Change Partnership?Change Partnership? How is [local organisation] involved?How is [local organisation] involved? How do I find out more?How do I find out more?

What is climate change?What is climate change? How will the South East be affected?How will the South East be affected? What is the South East Climate What is the South East Climate

Change Partnership?Change Partnership? How is [local organisation] involved?How is [local organisation] involved? How do I find out more?How do I find out more?


What is climate change?What is climate change?What is climate change?What is climate change?

Who to believe?Who to believe? Is it happening?Is it happening? Isn’t it ‘natural’?Isn’t it ‘natural’? Can it be stopped?Can it be stopped?

Who to believe?Who to believe? Is it happening?Is it happening? Isn’t it ‘natural’?Isn’t it ‘natural’? Can it be stopped?Can it be stopped?


Climate change: who to believe?Climate change: who to believe?Climate change: who to believe?Climate change: who to believe?

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)Change (IPCC)

US Environmental Protection AgencyUS Environmental Protection Agency US National Academy of SciencesUS National Academy of Sciences Kyoto Protocol signatoriesKyoto Protocol signatories

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)Change (IPCC)

US Environmental Protection AgencyUS Environmental Protection Agency US National Academy of SciencesUS National Academy of Sciences Kyoto Protocol signatoriesKyoto Protocol signatories


Climate change: is it happening?Climate change: is it happening?Climate change: is it happening?Climate change: is it happening?

Source: Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (Met Office)


Climate change: is it happening?Climate change: is it happening?Climate change: is it happening?Climate change: is it happening?

UK ClimateImpactsProgramme

Increase in global surface temperature over the past 1000 years – and projections for this century. Source: IPCC


Climate change: isn’t it natural?Climate change: isn’t it natural?Climate change: isn’t it natural?Climate change: isn’t it natural?

Climate has always changed – and Climate has always changed – and always will. Natural factors include:always will. Natural factors include:

– Changes in the Sun’s energy outputChanges in the Sun’s energy output– Changes in the Earth’s tilt & orbitChanges in the Earth’s tilt & orbit– The effects of volcanoesThe effects of volcanoes

But global climate also responds to But global climate also responds to changes in greenhouse gases:changes in greenhouse gases:

– Carbon dioxide, methane, ozone, nitrous Carbon dioxide, methane, ozone, nitrous oxide, CFCs, water vapour…oxide, CFCs, water vapour…

Climate has always changed – and Climate has always changed – and always will. Natural factors include:always will. Natural factors include:

– Changes in the Sun’s energy outputChanges in the Sun’s energy output– Changes in the Earth’s tilt & orbitChanges in the Earth’s tilt & orbit– The effects of volcanoesThe effects of volcanoes

But global climate also responds to But global climate also responds to changes in greenhouse gases:changes in greenhouse gases:

– Carbon dioxide, methane, ozone, nitrous Carbon dioxide, methane, ozone, nitrous oxide, CFCs, water vapour…oxide, CFCs, water vapour…



COCO22 levels have risen by 31% in 250 years: levels have risen by 31% in 250 years: – Pre-industrial = 280ppm Pre-industrial = 280ppm – End of 20End of 20thth century = 368ppm century = 368ppm

COCO22 levels could more than double again by levels could more than double again by

the 2080sthe 2080s Global climate takes time to respond to Global climate takes time to respond to

increasing GHG levelsincreasing GHG levels Changes we have seen so far have been a Changes we have seen so far have been a

combination of natural and human factorscombination of natural and human factors

COCO22 levels have risen by 31% in 250 years: levels have risen by 31% in 250 years: – Pre-industrial = 280ppm Pre-industrial = 280ppm – End of 20End of 20thth century = 368ppm century = 368ppm

COCO22 levels could more than double again by levels could more than double again by

the 2080sthe 2080s Global climate takes time to respond to Global climate takes time to respond to

increasing GHG levelsincreasing GHG levels Changes we have seen so far have been a Changes we have seen so far have been a

combination of natural and human factorscombination of natural and human factors



UK ClimateImpactsProgramme

How “Natural”, “Man-made” & “Mixed” models compare with observations of rising temperature.

Source: IPCC


Climate change: can it be stopped?Climate change: can it be stopped?Climate change: can it be stopped?Climate change: can it be stopped?

Emissions of GHGs now will affect Emissions of GHGs now will affect climate from the 2050s onwardsclimate from the 2050s onwards

But we are already ‘locked in’ to But we are already ‘locked in’ to climate change from past emissionsclimate change from past emissions

Some change is inevitable!Some change is inevitable!

Emissions of GHGs now will affect Emissions of GHGs now will affect climate from the 2050s onwardsclimate from the 2050s onwards

But we are already ‘locked in’ to But we are already ‘locked in’ to climate change from past emissionsclimate change from past emissions

Some change is inevitable!Some change is inevitable!


How will the SE be affected?How will the SE be affected?How will the SE be affected?How will the SE be affected?

How will our climate change?How will our climate change? What are the challenges?What are the challenges?

How will our climate change?How will our climate change? What are the challenges?What are the challenges?


How will the SE climate change? How will the SE climate change? How will the SE climate change? How will the SE climate change?

New climate change scenarios were New climate change scenarios were produced for the UK in April 2002produced for the UK in April 2002 Changes in 26 variablesChanges in 26 variables– e.g. temperature & rainfall etce.g. temperature & rainfall etc

3 Timescales 3 Timescales – ‘‘2020s’, ‘2050s’ & ‘2080s’2020s’, ‘2050s’ & ‘2080s’

Most changes will be more extreme in Most changes will be more extreme in the South East than elsewherethe South East than elsewhere

New climate change scenarios were New climate change scenarios were produced for the UK in April 2002produced for the UK in April 2002 Changes in 26 variablesChanges in 26 variables– e.g. temperature & rainfall etce.g. temperature & rainfall etc

3 Timescales 3 Timescales – ‘‘2020s’, ‘2050s’ & ‘2080s’2020s’, ‘2050s’ & ‘2080s’

Most changes will be more extreme in Most changes will be more extreme in the South East than elsewherethe South East than elsewhere


How will the SE climate change?How will the SE climate change?How will the SE climate change?How will the SE climate change?

Changes will include Temperature & Changes will include Temperature & Rainfall - plus:Rainfall - plus: Soil moistureSoil moisture HumidityHumidity Cloud coverCloud cover Solar energy reaching ground level (UV) Solar energy reaching ground level (UV) Sea levelSea level Extreme events:Extreme events:

– StormsStorms– FloodingFlooding– DroughtsDroughts

Changes will include Temperature & Changes will include Temperature & Rainfall - plus:Rainfall - plus: Soil moistureSoil moisture HumidityHumidity Cloud coverCloud cover Solar energy reaching ground level (UV) Solar energy reaching ground level (UV) Sea levelSea level Extreme events:Extreme events:

– StormsStorms– FloodingFlooding– DroughtsDroughts



Change in UK Summer Temperatures for the 2080s (Medium-High Scenario)

Source: UKCIP






What are the challenges?What are the challenges?What are the challenges?What are the challenges?

Some further climate change is Some further climate change is inevitableinevitable

– Delayed climate response to GHGsDelayed climate response to GHGs Climate change will mean adapting Climate change will mean adapting

the way we plan and manage:the way we plan and manage:– Our countrysideOur countryside– Our built environment & heritageOur built environment & heritage– Our water resourcesOur water resources– Our floodplainsOur floodplains– Our coastal defencesOur coastal defences– Our businessesOur businesses

Some further climate change is Some further climate change is inevitableinevitable

– Delayed climate response to GHGsDelayed climate response to GHGs Climate change will mean adapting Climate change will mean adapting

the way we plan and manage:the way we plan and manage:– Our countrysideOur countryside– Our built environment & heritageOur built environment & heritage– Our water resourcesOur water resources– Our floodplainsOur floodplains– Our coastal defencesOur coastal defences– Our businessesOur businesses


John Craven – SECCP PresidentJohn Craven – SECCP PresidentJohn Craven – SECCP PresidentJohn Craven – SECCP President

““Combating the future Combating the future effects of climate change effects of climate change is one of the biggest is one of the biggest challenges facing the challenges facing the world today, especially world today, especially in low-lying densely-in low-lying densely-populated areas such as populated areas such as the South East of the South East of England. We must be England. We must be prepared.”prepared.”

““Combating the future Combating the future effects of climate change effects of climate change is one of the biggest is one of the biggest challenges facing the challenges facing the world today, especially world today, especially in low-lying densely-in low-lying densely-populated areas such as populated areas such as the South East of the South East of England. We must be England. We must be prepared.”prepared.”


Adaptive planningAdaptive planningAdaptive planningAdaptive planning

Integrated approach to decisionsIntegrated approach to decisions Climate change will continueClimate change will continue It will impact on the South EastIt will impact on the South East We need to:We need to:– Reduce risksReduce risks– Take opportunities Take opportunities – Avoid increasing future causes of changeAvoid increasing future causes of change

Make use of best current understandingMake use of best current understanding Involve stakeholders Involve stakeholders

Integrated approach to decisionsIntegrated approach to decisions Climate change will continueClimate change will continue It will impact on the South EastIt will impact on the South East We need to:We need to:– Reduce risksReduce risks– Take opportunities Take opportunities – Avoid increasing future causes of changeAvoid increasing future causes of change

Make use of best current understandingMake use of best current understanding Involve stakeholders Involve stakeholders


South East Climate Change South East Climate Change PartnershipPartnership

South East Climate Change South East Climate Change PartnershipPartnership

A partnership of public, private & A partnership of public, private & voluntary sectors created to:voluntary sectors created to: Investigate, inform and advise on the Investigate, inform and advise on the

threats & opportunities from the impacts threats & opportunities from the impacts of climate change in South East England of climate change in South East England

Promote adaptive planning in the region.Promote adaptive planning in the region.

A partnership of public, private & A partnership of public, private & voluntary sectors created to:voluntary sectors created to: Investigate, inform and advise on the Investigate, inform and advise on the

threats & opportunities from the impacts threats & opportunities from the impacts of climate change in South East England of climate change in South East England

Promote adaptive planning in the region.Promote adaptive planning in the region.


SE Climate Change PartnershipSE Climate Change PartnershipSE Climate Change PartnershipSE Climate Change Partnership

Partners include:Partners include: Public sectorPublic sector– Local & regional GovernmentLocal & regional Government– National agenciesNational agencies

Private sectorPrivate sector–Water companiesWater companies– Environmental technology & consultancyEnvironmental technology & consultancy

Voluntary sectorVoluntary sector–Wildlife charitiesWildlife charities– Heritage charitiesHeritage charities

Partners include:Partners include: Public sectorPublic sector– Local & regional GovernmentLocal & regional Government– National agenciesNational agencies

Private sectorPrivate sector–Water companiesWater companies– Environmental technology & consultancyEnvironmental technology & consultancy

Voluntary sectorVoluntary sector–Wildlife charitiesWildlife charities– Heritage charitiesHeritage charities


The response…The response…The response…The response…

The partnership approach & regional The partnership approach & regional coverage help us, bycoverage help us, by

– Demonstrating credibility in addressing the Demonstrating credibility in addressing the issuesissues

– Building confidence in developing our Building confidence in developing our responsesresponses

– Acting as a catalyst in bringing together Acting as a catalyst in bringing together sources of solutionssources of solutions

The partnership approach & regional The partnership approach & regional coverage help us, bycoverage help us, by

– Demonstrating credibility in addressing the Demonstrating credibility in addressing the issuesissues

– Building confidence in developing our Building confidence in developing our responsesresponses

– Acting as a catalyst in bringing together Acting as a catalyst in bringing together sources of solutionssources of solutions


SECCP activitiesSECCP activitiesSECCP activitiesSECCP activities

Key sectors:Key sectors: AgricultureAgriculture BiodiversityBiodiversity Business communityBusiness community Emergency planningEmergency planning PlanningPlanning Tourism Tourism Utilities & infrastructureUtilities & infrastructure

Key sectors:Key sectors: AgricultureAgriculture BiodiversityBiodiversity Business communityBusiness community Emergency planningEmergency planning PlanningPlanning Tourism Tourism Utilities & infrastructureUtilities & infrastructure


SECCP activitiesSECCP activitiesSECCP activitiesSECCP activities

Annual forumAnnual forum–Members’ AGM & stakeholders conferenceMembers’ AGM & stakeholders conference

Website:Website:– Decision makers & publicDecision makers & public

Quarterly bulletinQuarterly bulletin–Members & stakeholdersMembers & stakeholders

Training & WorkshopsTraining & Workshops– Skills & experienceSkills & experience

ProjectsProjects– Research & demonstrationResearch & demonstration

Annual forumAnnual forum–Members’ AGM & stakeholders conferenceMembers’ AGM & stakeholders conference

Website:Website:– Decision makers & publicDecision makers & public

Quarterly bulletinQuarterly bulletin–Members & stakeholdersMembers & stakeholders

Training & WorkshopsTraining & Workshops– Skills & experienceSkills & experience

ProjectsProjects– Research & demonstrationResearch & demonstration


For further informationFor further informationFor further informationFor further information

XXXX:XXXX: Contact nameContact name EmailEmail Phone numberPhone number

SECCP:SECCP: Mark Goldthorpe, Programme ManagerMark Goldthorpe, Programme Manager Email: [email protected]: [email protected] Tel: 020 8541 7972Tel: 020 8541 7972

XXXX:XXXX: Contact nameContact name EmailEmail Phone numberPhone number

SECCP:SECCP: Mark Goldthorpe, Programme ManagerMark Goldthorpe, Programme Manager Email: [email protected]: [email protected] Tel: 020 8541 7972Tel: 020 8541 7972

Documents

Www.climatesoutheast.org.uk Rising to the Challenge of Climate Change in the South East Local Presenter & Organisation Partner’s Logo