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Data talk-and-beer efremov-sales_forecasting

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DATA SCIENCE, RETAIL

& OPPORTUNITIES

Alexander Efremov

Agenda

Trends in DS

DS & Retail

Opportunities

Trends in DS

From Big Enterprises to SME

Reduce human intervention

Mixed Data

DS & Retail

Retail Industry

Why A4Retail?Demand forecast, Storage planning, Price Optimization, etc.

Retail System – Spec.• Dynamic, Time-Varying, Non-Linear, MIMO system

Retail Data – Spec.• Missings, Outliers, Uninformative vars, Seasonality, Trend, etc.

Automated Workflow

……

Retail

System

product1:price, disc., adv., disp...

sale1…

salen

weather

social events

other

productn:price, disc., adv., disp...

Automated Workflow

Data Prep Modelling Validation

Business knowledgeData

no yesSales

Forecast

& Stats

Automated Workflow

Data Prep

Cleaning

- Miss, Outs, LowVar

Preprocessing

- Vars decomp. /detrend,

deseas./

- Transform

- Standardization

- Remove multicol., etc.

Modelling & Validation

Multistage modelling

SWR - Model dev

Model val

Sales forecast & Stats

Model destandardization

Detransformation

Add trend & seas

Data Prep

Missings Seasonality

Modelling

SWR & Multistage Modelling

Modelling 2

Modelling 1Fact. Set 1

Product

Modelling 3

Fact. Set 2

Category

Fact. Set 3

Rest

y

e1

e2

Depend.

DS & Retail

A4Retail – Results

www.a4everyone.com

Opportunities

Opportunities

Education

Business

Science

DATA SCIENCE, RETAIL

& OTHER OPPORTUNITIES

Alexander Efremov

THANK YOU