…[who said]…

Rising Dow causesGriffin to ask “what’sthat economic crisis deal”Summary: The DJIA gainednearly 1000 points between Nov.10 and 14th, prompting DuaneGriffin to ask “is this an economiccrisis?”

Temperature Anomaly (Base: 1951-1980)

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Year

Deg

. C

Data courtesy NASA GISS

1956

1932

NY Times Headlines

IPCC

Global Population: Past 12000 Years

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

0100020003000400050006000700080009000100001100012000Yeas Before Present

Po

pu

lati

on

(b

illi

on

s)

That depends.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100

Projection based on current trendsand hope for stability

Brought to you by:

1) cheap fossil fuels and other non-renewable natural capital

2) Relative climate stability.

Pop

ulat

ion

(bill

ions

)

Year

Carrying Capacity

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1900 2000 2100 2200

24 Estimates based onenergy, food, ecologicalfootprint, NPP, systemsmodels, or multiplefactors.

Average (5)

Median (3.5)

data soure: www.ilea.org/leaf/richard2002.html

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150

Extinction?

Oops

Carrying Capacity

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1900 2000 2100 2200

Average (5)

Median (3.5)

Oops Mad Max

Carrying Capacity

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1900 2000 2100 2200

Average (5)

Median (3.5)

Oops Mad Max

MuddlingDown

Carrying Capacity

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1900 2000 2100 2200

Average (5)

Median (3.5)

Oops Mad Max

Muddling Down

GreenUtopia

Carrying Capacity

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1900 2000 2100 2200

Average (5)

Median (3.5)

Oops Mad Max

Muddling Down

GreenUtopia

Brown Utopia

Carrying Capacity

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1900 2000 2100 2200

Average (5)

Median (3.5)

Oops Mad Max

Muddling Down

GreenUtopia

Current path?

Brown Utopia

Divergence point: ca. 2030

~20 years

Your middle age Your old age Your grandchildren