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ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Meteorological Training Course Horst Böttger ECMWF Head of Met Division Operations Department

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ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Meteorological Training Course Horst Bttger ECMWF Head of Met Division Operations Department Slide 2 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course ECMWF IN A FEW FIGURES Member States: 18 Co-operating States: 7 Employees: 220 Age: 28 years Slide 3 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Member States AustriaLuxembourg BelgiumNetherlands DenmarkNorway Finland Portugal FranceSpain GermanySweden GreeceSwitzerland IrelandTurkey ItalyUnited Kingdom Co-operation agreements or working arrangements with: Croatia Czech Republic Hungary Iceland Slovenia Serbia & Montenegro Romania WMO EUMETSAT ACMAD JRC CTBTO (INPE) Slide 4 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Organisation of ECMWF COUNCIL 18 Member States DIRECTOR D. Burridge (UK) Operations D. Marbouty (France) Operations D. Marbouty (France) Research P. Bougeault (France) Research P. Bougeault (France) Administration G. Schultes (Germany) Administration G. Schultes (Germany) Finance Committee 7 Members Finance Committee 7 Members Technical Advisory Committee 18 Members Technical Advisory Committee 18 Members Scientific Advisory Committee 12 Members Scientific Advisory Committee 12 Members Policy Advisory Committee 7-18 Members Policy Advisory Committee 7-18 Members Advisory Committee on Data Policy 8-18 Members Advisory Committee on Data Policy 8-18 Members Advisory Committee of Co-operating States 6 Members Advisory Committee of Co-operating States 6 Members Meteorological Division H. Bttger (Germany) Computer Division W. Zwieflhofer (Austria) Data Division A. Simmons (UK) Model Division M. Miller (UK) Probabilistic Forecasting and Diagnostics Division T. Palmer (UK) Slide 5 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course ECMWF Budget 2003 Germany 22.73% Denmark 1.87% Belgium 2.78% United Kingdom 16.23% Turkey 2.21% Sweden 2.62% Finland 1.38% Switzerland 3.08% Portugal 1.22% Austria 2.24% Norway 1.71% Netherlands 4.33% Italy 12.78% Ireland 0.85% Greece 1.37% France 15.80% Spain 6.47% Revenue 2003 Member States contributions24,618,500 Hungary, Iceland, Croatia, Slovenia, Czech Republic299,400 24,917,900 Tax on staff salaries 3,436,400 Staff contributions to pensions and insurance 732,600 Other revenue 820,400 Total revenue (29,907,300) GNP Scale 2003 Luxembourg 0.20% Slide 6 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course ECMWF Objectives Operational Medium Range forecasting up to 10 days ahead (including waves) with emphasis put on severe weather R & D activities in forecast modelling Data archiving and related services Operational seasonal forecasting up to 6 months ahead Provision of supercomputer resources Assistance to WMO programmes Management of Regional Meteorological Data Communications Network (RMDCN) Slide 7 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course ECMWF other activities Reanalyses (ERA-15, ERA-40) Boundary conditions for LAM Data Services Provision of archival data and products Provision of software Slide 8 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Computer configuration - August 2003 Slide 9 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Phase 3 of the IBM HPCF Two identical clusters with 68 p690++ servers each Nodes for user work: Each cluster has 66 32-processor servers for user work 6 of the servers in each cluster have 128 GB memory All other nodes have 32 GB memory Processors (Power4+) run at 1.9 GHz (7.6 gigaflops peak) ~25 terabytes of disk per cluster p-Series High Performance Switch (4 links per server) Nodes for I/O and networking 2 p690++ servers, each partitioned into several smaller nodes The number of nodes is an estimate and could go up or down depending on the results of the performance test Slide 10 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course ECMWF model scores 1981-2003 Slide 11 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Comparison of ECMWF forecast performance with other NWP centres (Z500 Anomaly correlation) previous winter (left) and last winter 2003/04 (right) Winter 2002/03 Winter 2003/04 Northern Hemisphere Slide 12 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Number of used observational data QuikSCAT Red. Thinning ATOVS Meteosat WV rad SBUV & GOME NOAA17 MODIS winds GOES WV rad Add. HIRS Slide 13 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course millions Number of observational data used in the ECMWF assimilation system (with AIRS) 3.6 millions Slide 14 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course WMO scores: Northern Hemisphere Day 2 Day 4 Day 6 Slide 15 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Ops 1980 Ops 2001 ERA 2001 Ops 1980 Ops 2001 Ops 2002/3 ERA 2001 Anomaly correlations of 500hPa height forecasts Northern Hemisphere % Slide 16 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course www.ecmwf.int Slide 17 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Your room Slide 18 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Slide 19 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Point of interest for the research community Availability of ERA-40 Data server providing on-line free access for research and education ERA-15 Demeter ERA-40 ENACT BUFR/CREX and GRIB encoding-decoding software freely downloadable on-line External policy adopted Slide 20 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course ERA-40 400 GB 2.5 degree GRIB or netCDF Slide 21 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Summary of the strategy for ECMWF 1999-2008 A Strategy for ECMWF for the period 1999 to 2008 was adopted unanimously by the ECMWF Council in June 1999. In summary: Goals The prime long-term goal of the Centres research and operational activity for the period 1999-2008 is to deliver operational medium-range weather forecasts of increasingly high quality and scope over the range from three to ten days and beyond. A complementary long-term goal is to establish, deliver and improve a reliable operational seasonal forecasting capability. Slide 22 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course The forecast and data assimilation system Make full use of data from new satellite (AIRS, SEVIRI, IASI) Extract information on cloud, precipitation and related dynamics Refine the treatment of land and ocean surface, boundary layer and hydrological cycle Increase the resolution: Vertical resolution from 60 to 91 levels Deterministic fc and 4D-Var outer loop from 40 to 25 km (T799) Ensemble forecast (EPS) from 80 to 50 km (T399) Seasonal forecasting from 200 to 125 km Slide 23 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course The ensemble system Weekly running of the monthly forecast Develop a seamless ensemble forecast system across a range of timescale, e.g. T399(50 km) to D+7 twice daily continue once a day at T255(80 km) to D+15 continue twice a week at T159(123 km) to D+30, in coupled mode Moist singular vector Ensemble data assimilation Slide 24 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course The seasonal forecasting system Europe in a leading position to develop a multi-model operational seasonal forecasting system: Started with with UK Met Office model Continues with Mto-France ECMWF recognised as a global producer in the WMO system under development Develop System 3 (125 km resolution) New Ocean model Extend to 12 months Slide 25 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Operational targets Development of the monitoring activities Satellite date In support of EUCOS Timeliness of dissemination Development of severe weather products: Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) Tropical Cyclone Floods Worldwide RMDCN Slide 26 ECMWF ECMWF Meteorological Training Course Other developments Environmental Monitoring (GMES): CO2 Other non reactive gases Reactive gases Aerosols IFS for climate runs Grid computing